Polls
RCP Pollster Scorecard
Multiple State/National Pollsters | Single State/Regional Pollsters | National Polls (President, Generic Ballot)
Single State/Regional Pollsters: 2014 - 2022
Scorecards include pollsters who conducted general election surveys in a single state or region. The scorecards include odd-year elections (Virginia, New Jersey, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi) and runoffs (e.g. Georgia Senate), but do not include House races or primaries. The scorecards include all final presidential, senatorial & gubernatorial general election polls released within 22 days of Election Day. The 2014-2022 cumulative scorecard includes only those pollsters that have conducted surveys in at least two of the last five election cycles, with a minimum of one poll in the two most recent cycles.
Single State Pollsters
2014-2022: Single State Pollster Scorecard
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution (Georgia) | 1.4 | 20% | 80% |
| University of Houston (Texas) | 1.7 | 33% | 67% |
| Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. (Iowa) | 2.0 | 14% | 86% |
| Landmark Communications (Georgia) | 2.5 | 25% | 75% |
| Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA (Michigan) | 2.5 | 13% | 87% |
| Albuquerque Journal (New Mexico) | 2.6 | 67% | 33% |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call (Pennsylvania) | 2.6 | 25% | 75% |
| Marquette University (Wisconsin) | 2.8 | 50% | 50% |
| Boston Globe/Suffolk (N.H., MA) | 3.0 | 67% | 33% |
| University of Texas (Texas) | 3.1 | 100% | 0% |
| East Carolina University (N.C., S.C. & Georgia) | 3.1 | 43% | 57% |
| Stockton University (New Jersey) | 3.3 | 29% | 71% |
| Christopher Newport U. (Virginia) | 3.4 | 20% | 80% |
| Mitchell Research (Michigan) | 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| WBUR (New Hampshire) | 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| St. Anselm (New Hampshire) | 3.5 | 75% | 25% |
| Florida Atlantic University (Florida) | 3.6 | 25% | 75% |
| OH Predictive Insights (Arizona, Utah, Nevada) | 3.6 | 56% | 44% |
| Berkeley IGS (California) | 3.7 | 50% | 50% |
| St. Pete Polls (Florida) | 4.3 | 0% | 100% |
| Detroit News (Michigan) | 4.3 | 29% | 71% |
| PPIC (California) | 4.6 | 67% | 33% |
| Washington Post (Virginia) | 4.8 | 20% | 80% |
| UNH (New Hampshire, Maine) | 5.6 | 33% | 67% |
| Roanoke College (Virginia) | 6.5 | 17% | 83% |
| Franklin & Marshall (Pennsylvania) | 6.6 | 13% | 87% |
| FSU/YouGov (Florida) | 8.0 | 0% | 100% |
| Rutgers-Eagleton (New Jersey) | 8.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Sooner Poll (Oklahoma) | 9.4 | 0% | 100% |
Single State Pollsters
2022: Single State Pollster Scorecard
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of Texas (Texas) | 0.1 | ||
| Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA (Michigan) | 0.4 | ||
| PPIC (California) | 0.6 | ||
| Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. (Iowa) | 0.8 | 0% | 100% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution (Georgia) | 1.0 | 50% | 50% |
| East Carolina University (N.C., S.C. & Georgia) | 1.1 | 100% | 0% |
| Albuquerque Journal (New Mexico) | 1.6 | ||
| Landmark Communications (Georgia) | 1.6 | 33% | 67% |
| University of Colorado (Colorado) | 2.0 | 100% | 0% |
| Detroit News (Michigan) | 2.0 | ||
| University of Houston (Texas) | 2.1 | ||
| Marquette University (Wisconsin) | 2.2 | 100% | 0% |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call (Pennsylvania) | 2.3 | 100% | 0% |
| Washington Post (Virginia) | 2.9 | ||
| Roanoke College (Virginia) | 2.9 | ||
| Christopher Newport U. (Virginia) | 2.9 | ||
| Franklin & Marshall (Pennsylvania) | 4.1 | 50% | 50% |
| OH Predictive Insights (Arizona, Utah, Nevada) | 4.1 | 60% | 40% |
| Mitchell Research (Michigan) | 5.2 | 50% | 50% |
| Rutgers-Eagleton (New Jersey) | 5.2 | ||
| Hoffman Research (Oregon) | 5.4 | ||
| Stockton University (New Jersey) | 6.2 | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson (New Jersey) | 6.2 | ||
| St. Anselm (New Hampshire) | 6.3 | 100% | 0% |
| FSU/YouGov (Florida) | 9.4 | 0% | 100% |
| Sooner Poll (Oklahoma) | 16.9 |
Single State Pollsters
2020: Single State Pollster Scorecard
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stockton University (New Jersey) | 0.5 | ||
| Christopher Newport U. (Virginia) | 0.6 | ||
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution (Georgia) | 0.7 | ||
| St. Anselm (New Hampshire) | 0.8 | 50% | 50% |
| University of Houston (Texas) | 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
| Roanoke College (Virginia) | 1.6 | ||
| Albuquerque Journal (New Mexico) | 1.7 | 0% | 100% |
| Boston Globe/Suffolk(New Hampshire) | 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
| Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. (Iowa) | 1.9 | 0% | 100% |
| Deseret News (Utah) | 2.5 | ||
| OH Predictive Insights (Arizona) | 2.7 | 0% | 100% |
| UNH (New Hampshire, Maine) | 2.8 | 50% | 50% |
| Landmark Communications (Georgia) | 2.8 | 67% | 33% |
| PPIC (Califonia) | 3.4 | ||
| Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA (Michigan) | 3.8 | 0% | 100% |
| Mitchell Research (Michigan) | 3.8 | 0% | 100% |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call (Pennsylvania) | 3.8 | ||
| Marquette University (Wisconsin) | 4.3 | ||
| St. Pete Polls (Florida) | 4.4 | ||
| East Carolina University (N.C., S.C. & Georgia) | 4.7 | 0% | 100% |
| Franklin & Marshall (Pennsylvania) | 4.8 | ||
| JMC Analytics (Louisiana, Georgia) | 4.9 | 0% | 100% |
| FSU/YouGov (Florida) | 5.3 | ||
| Dallas Morning News (Texas) | 5.3 | 0% | 100% |
| Detroit News (Michigan) | 5.8 | 0% | 100% |
| Berkeley IGS (California) | 6.6 | ||
| Washington Post (Virginia) | 7.0 | ||
| UW-Madison/Wisconsin State Journal (Wisconsin) | 7.4 | 0% | 100% |
| Rutgers-Eagleton (New Jersey) | 9.1 | 0% | 100% |
| Remington Research (Missouri) | 10.4 | ||
| Sooner Poll (Oklahoma) | 11.1 | ||
| Who-TV 13/RABA Research (Iowa) | 12.4 | 0% | 100% |
Single State Pollsters
2018: Single State Pollster Scorecard
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette University (Wisconsin) | 0.7 | 50% | 50% |
| Stockton University (New Jersey) | 1.1 | 0% | 100% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution (Georgia) | 1.2 | ||
| Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA (Michigan) | 2.1 | 50% | 50% |
| Berkeley IGS (California) | 2.3 | 100% | 0% |
| Mitchell Research (Michigan) | 2.3 | 100% | 0% |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call (Pennsylvania) | 2.5 | 0% | 100% |
| Florida St. University (Florida) | 2.6 | 50% | 50% |
| Stanford/YouGov (California) | 2.8 | 100% | 0% |
| Christopher Newport U. (Virginia) | 2.9 | ||
| OH Predictive Insights (Arizona) | 3.2 | 100% | 0% |
| Albuquerque Journal (New Mexico) | 3.7 | 100% | 0% |
| Boston Globe/Suffolk(Massachusetts) | 3.7 | 100% | 0% |
| The Star Tribune (Minnesota) | 3.7 | 100% | 0% |
| Washington Post (Virginia) | 3.9 | ||
| St. Pete Polls (Florida) | 4.2 | 0% | 100% |
| University of Texas (Texas) | 4.6 | 100% | 0% |
| Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. (Iowa) | 5.0 | ||
| Franklin & Marshall (Pennsylvania) | 5.5 | 0% | 100% |
| Rutgers-Eagleton (New Jersey) | 5.6 | ||
| WBUR (Massachusetts) | 5.7 | 100% | 0% |
| Remington Research (Missouri) | 6.0 | ||
| UNH (New Hampshire, Maine) | 7.0 | ||
| Detroit News (Michigan) | 7.1 | 0% | 100% |
| Roanoke College (Virginia) | 8.9 | ||
| Sooner Poll (Oklahoma) | 9.1 | ||
| PPIC (Califonia) | 9.3 | 50% | 50% |
| Siena College (New York) | 9.6 | 100% | 0% |
Single State Pollsters
2016: Single State Pollster Scorecard
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post (Viginia) | 0.6 | ||
| Channel 8/JMC Analytics (Nevada) | 1.4 | 100% | 0% |
| Roanoke College (Virginia) | 1.6 | ||
| Stockton University (New Jersey) | 1.8 | ||
| Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. (Iowa) | 2.0 | 0% | 100% |
| PPIC (Califonia) | 2.4 | 100% | 0% |
| Landmark Communications (Georgia) | 2.5 | 0% | 100% |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call (Pennsylvania) | 2.7 | 0% | 100% |
| Siena College (New York) | 2.7 | 100% | 0% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution (Georgia) | 3.1 | ||
| Elon (North Carolina) | 3.2 | 0% | 100% |
| Albuquerque Journal (New Mexico) | 3.3 | ||
| Elway (Washington) | 3.4 | 0% | 100% |
| Boston Globe/Suffolk(New Hampshire) | 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Florida St. University (Florida) | 3.7 | ||
| WBUR (New Hampshire) | 3.8 | 100% | 0% |
| Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA (Michigan) | 4.3 | ||
| Mitchell Research (Michigan) | 5.3 | ||
| Marquette University (Wisconsin) | 5.6 | 0% | 100% |
| UNH (New Hampshire, Maine) | 8.3 | 0% | 100% |
| Franklin & Marshall (Pennsylvania) | 12.7 | 0% | 100% |
Single State Pollsters
2014: Single State Pollster Scorecard
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| WBUR (Massachusetts) | 1.0 | 0% | 100% |
| UMass Lowell (New Hampshire, Massachusetts) | 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
| Elway (Oregon) | 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
| Marquette University (Wisconsin) | 1.3 | ||
| Detroit News (Michigan) | 1.3 | 50% | 50% |
| Mitchell Research (Michigan) | 1.7 | 50% | 50% |
| Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. (Iowa) | 1.9 | 50% | 50% |
| Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA (Michigan) | 2.0 | 0% | 100% |
| Albuquerque Journal (New Mexico) | 2.1 | 100% | 0% |
| Muhlenberg College/Morning Call (Pennsylvania) | 2.2 | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson (New Jersey) | 3.0 | 0% | 100% |
| Landmark Communications (Georgia) | 3.0 | 0% | 100% |
| Franklin & Marshall (Pennsylvania) | 3.2 | ||
| UNH (New Hampshire, Maine) | 3.4 | 75% | 25% |
| Christopher Newport U. (Virginia) | 5.4 | 0% | 100% |
| Stockton University (New Jersey) | 6.2 | 50% | 50% |
| Sooner Poll (Oklahoma) | 6.4 | 0% | 100% |
| Washington Post (Virginia) | 9.5 | ||
| Roanoke College (Virginia) | 11.9 | 0% | 100% |
| Rutgers-Eagleton (New Jersey) | 13.7 |
