Polls
RCP Pollster Scorecard
Multiple State/National Pollsters | Single State/Regional Pollsters | National Polls (President, Generic Ballot)
National Polls: 2014 – 2022
The cumulative 2014 – 2022 scorecard includes pollsters who released a final national presidential survey within 25 days of both the 2016 and 2020 general elections, as well as a minimum of two final generic congressional ballot surveys within 25 days of Election Day during the 2014 – 2022 cycles.
Additional scorecards break out pollster performance separately for presidential surveys (2016 and 2020, combined and by individual cycle), and generic congressional ballot surveys (2014-2022, cumulative and by individual cycle).
National Polls
2014-2022: National President, Generic Ballot
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reuters/Ipsos | 1.7 | 25% | 75% |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 2.2 | 40% | 60% |
| FOX News | 2.7 | 20% | 80% |
| NBC News/WSJ | 3.4 | 17% | 83% |
| Rasmussen Reports | 3.6 | 80% | 20% |
| USA Today/Suffolk | 3.9 | 40% | 60% |
| Economist/YouGov | 3.9 | 17% | 83% |
| CNN | 5.1 | 14% | 86% |
National Polls
2016 President & 2020 President
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reuters/Ipsos | 1.7 | 0% | 100% |
| Rasmussen Reports | 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
| IBD/TIPP | 2.1 | 100% | 0% |
| FOX News | 2.7 | 0% | 100% |
| NBC News/WSJ | 3.7 | 0% | 100% |
| Economist/YouGov | 3.7 | 0% | 100% |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 4.7 | 0% | 100% |
| CNN | 5.2 | 0% | 100% |
| USA Today/Suffolk | 5.4 | 0% | 100% |
| Quinnipiac University | 5.7 | 0% | 100% |
| USC (LA Times 2016) | 5.9 | 50% | 50% |
National Polls
2014 - 2022: Generic Congressional Ballot
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| NPR/PBS/Marist | 0.4 | 50% | 50% |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 0.5 | 67% | 33% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
| CBS News | 2.4 | 33% | 67% |
| FOX News | 2.7 | 33% | 67% |
| USA Today/Suffolk | 2.9 | 67% | 33% |
| NBC News/WSJ | 3.3 | 25% | 75% |
| Economist/YouGov | 4.1 | 25% | 75% |
| Rasmussen Reports | 4.8 | 67% | 33% |
| CNN | 5.1 | 20% | 80% |
| Politico/Morning Consult | 5.9 | 0% | 100% |
National Polls
2022: Generic Congressional Ballot
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| NPR/PBS/Marist | 0.2 | ||
| ABC News/Wash Post | 0.8 | ||
| WSJ | 0.8 | ||
| CBS News/YouGov | 0.8 | ||
| Quinnipiac University | 1.2 | ||
| Data For Progress (D) | 1.2 | ||
| CNN | 1.2 | ||
| USA Today/Suffolk | 1.7 | ||
| Economist/YouGov | 1.8 | ||
| InsiderAdvantage | 1.9 | ||
| Emerson | 2.1 | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | 2.2 | ||
| Trafalgar Group (R) | 2.9 | ||
| NBC News | 3.8 | ||
| Politico/Morning Consult | 7.8 |
National Polls
2020: National President
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| IBD/TIPP | 0.5 | ||
| HarrisX | 0.5 | ||
| Emerson | 1.1 | ||
| Reuters/Ipsos | 2.5 | ||
| JTN/RMG Research | 2.5 | ||
| USA Today/Suffolk | 3.0 | ||
| Harvard-Harris | 3.5 | ||
| SurveyUSA | 3.5 | ||
| FOX News | 3.5 | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | 3.5 | ||
| New York Times/Siena | 4.5 | ||
| NBC News/WSJ | 5.5 | ||
| CNBC/Change Research | 5.5 | ||
| Economist/YouGov | 5.5 | ||
| Quinnipiac University | 6.5 | ||
| USC Dornsife | 6.6 | ||
| ABC News/Wash Post | 7.5 | ||
| CNN | 7.5 |
National Polls
2020: Generic Congressional Ballot
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| HarrisX | 1.9 | ||
| NBC News/WSJ | 1.9 | ||
| Politico/Morning Consult | 3.9 | ||
| USA Today/Suffolk | 6.9 | ||
| Economist/YouGov | 6.9 | ||
| CNN | 8.9 |
National Polls
2018: Generic Congressional Ballot
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA Today/Suffolk | 0.2 | ||
| ABC News/Wash Post | 0.4 | ||
| NPR/PBS/Marist | 0.6 | ||
| IBD/TIPP | 0.6 | ||
| Harvard-Harris | 0.6 | ||
| Reuters/Ipsos | 1.4 | ||
| FOX News | 1.4 | ||
| NBC News/WSJ | 1.4 | ||
| Economist/YouGov | 3.4 | ||
| CNN | 4.6 | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | 9.4 |
National Polls
2016: National President
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | 0.1 | ||
| Selzer & Co. | 0.9 | ||
| Reuters/Ipsos | 0.9 | ||
| McClatchy/Marist | 1.1 | ||
| FOX News | 1.9 | ||
| ABC News/Wash Post | 1.9 | ||
| NBC News/WSJ | 1.9 | ||
| Economist/YouGov | 1.9 | ||
| CNN | 2.9 | ||
| IBD/TIPP | 3.7 | ||
| Monmouth | 3.9 | ||
| Quinnipiac University | 4.9 | ||
| LA Times/USC | 5.1 | ||
| USA Today/Suffolk | 7.7 |
National Polls
2016: Generic Congressional Ballot
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| FOX News | 0.1 | ||
| Reuters/Ipsos | 2.1 | ||
| McClatchy/Marist | 2.1 | ||
| CNN | 4.1 | ||
| NBC News/WSJ | 4.1 | ||
| Economicst/YouGov | 4.1 | ||
| CBS News | 4.1 |
National Polls
2014: Generic Congressional Ballot
| Pollster | Average Error | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|
| ABC News/Wash Post | 0.3 | ||
| CBS News | 2.3 | ||
| Associated Press/GfK | 2.3 | ||
| Rasmussen Reports | 2.7 | ||
| NBC News/WSJ | 5.7 | ||
| FOX News | 6.7 | ||
| CNN | 6.7 | ||
| USA Today/PSRAI | 6.7 | ||
| Pew Research | 6.7 |
