Scorecards include pollsters who conducted general election surveys in more than two states/regions. The scorecards include odd-year elections (Virginia, New Jersey, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi) and runoffs (e.g. Georgia Senate), but do not include House races or primaries. The scorecards include final presidential, senatorial & gubernatorial general election polls released within 22 days of Election Day. The 2014-2022 cumulative scorecard includes only those pollsters that have conducted surveys in at least three of the last five election cycles.
Pollster | Average Error | States Polled | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Lowell | 2.2 | 4 | 36% | 64% |
Susquehanna | 3.0 | 5 | 54% | 46% |
Suffolk University | 3.7 | 11 | 38% | 62% |
Emerson College | 3.9 | 31 | 46% | 54% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | 4.3 | 25 | 84% | 16% |
New York Times/Siena | 4.3 | 16 | 23% | 77% |
InsiderAdvantage | 4.4 | 10 | 59% | 41% |
FOX News | 4.4 | 15 | 32% | 68% |
CNN | 4.6 | 13 | 27% | 73% |
PPP (D) | 4.7 | 18 | 23% | 77% |
Quinnipiac University | 4.7 | 13 | 20% | 80% |
SurveyUSA | 4.7 | 19 | 33% | 67% |
Rasmussen Reports | 5.0 | 23 | 35% | 65% |
NBC News/WSJ/Marist | 5.2 | 33 | 26% | 74% |
Remington Research | 5.6 | 12 | 54% | 46% |
CBS News/YouGov | 5.7 | 46 | 24% | 76% |
Monmouth | 5.7 | 15 | 16% | 84% |
Mason-Dixon | 6.1 | 6 | 17% | 83% |
Pollster | Average Error | States Polled | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
---|---|---|---|---|
UMass Lowell | 1.2 | 2 | 33% | 67% |
CNN | 1.2 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
New York Times/Siena | 1.5 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
Suffolk University | 1.7 | 2 | 60% | 40% |
FOX News | 1.9 | 4 | 75% | 25% |
SurveyUSA | 2.5 | 7 | 20% | 80% |
Susquehanna | 2.6 | 3 | 67% | 33% |
Marist College | 2.8 | 5 | 56% | 44% |
Univision | 3.0 | 3 | 40% | 60% |
Emerson College | 3.5 | 22 | 61% | 39% |
Data for Progress (D) | 3.6 | 13 | 73% | 27% |
CBS News/YouGov | 3.7 | 3 | 50% | 50% |
Siena College | 4.0 | 4 | 29% | 71% |
Remington Research | 4.2 | 6 | 70% | 30% |
Rasmussen Reports | 5.1 | 2 | 100% | 0% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | 5.4 | 18 | 86% | 14% |
InsiderAdvantage | 5.8 | 8 | 81% | 19% |
Pollster | Average Error | States Polled | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
---|---|---|---|---|
InsiderAdvantage | 2.4 | 6 | 67% | 33% |
Susquehanna | 2.5 | 4 | 60% | 40% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | 2.7 | 12 | 86% | 14% |
Rasmussen Reports | 3.2 | 5 | 25% | 75% |
UMass Lowell | 3.8 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
HarrisX | 4.0 | 4 | 14% | 86% |
SurveyUSA | 4.2 | 6 | 31% | 69% |
CBS News/YouGov | 4.4 | 5 | 13% | 88% |
CNBC/Change Research | 4.4 | 6 | 0% | 100% |
Emerson College | 4.8 | 13 | 23% | 77% |
Reuters/Ipsos | 5.1 | 6 | 0% | 100% |
New York Times/Siena | 5.1 | 14 | 8% | 92% |
FOX News | 5.4 | 4 | 0% | 100% |
ABC News/Wash Post | 5.4 | 5 | 0% | 100% |
NBC News/WSJ/Marist | 5.7 | 4 | 17% | 83% |
PPP (D) | 7.1 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
Mason-Dixon | 7.1 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
CNN | 7.3 | 6 | 0% | 100% |
Quinnipiac University | 7.3 | 6 | 0% | 100% |
Monmouth | 7.6 | 5 | 0% | 100% |
Pollster | Average Error | States Polled | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
---|---|---|---|---|
CBS News/YouGov | 1.8 | 3 | 0% | 100% |
Suffolk University | 2.1 | 3 | 40% | 60% |
Emerson College | 3.3 | 23 | 53% | 47% |
Quinnipiac University | 3.5 | 7 | 45% | 55% |
FOX News | 3.6 | 7 | 45% | 55% |
Monmouth | 4.0 | 2 | 75% | 25% |
CNN | 4.5 | 4 | 25% | 75% |
HarrisX | 4.6 | 5 | 56% | 44% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | 4.9 | 9 | 77% | 23% |
New York Times/Siena | 5.0 | 3 | 50% | 50% |
SurveyUSA | 5.3 | 4 | 50% | 50% |
NBC News/WSJ/Marist | 5.4 | 7 | 33% | 67% |
Rasmussen Reports | 6.7 | 2 | 67% | 33% |
Pollster | Average Error | States Polled | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co. | 1.6 | 2 | 40% | 60% |
Trafalgar Group (R) | 2.2 | 7 | 86% | 14% |
InsiderAdvantage | 3.3 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
PPP (D) | 3.6 | 4 | 17% | 83% |
NBC News/WSJ/Marist | 3.9 | 7 | 50% | 50% |
New York Times/Siena | 4.1 | 3 | 33% | 67% |
CNN | 4.3 | 4 | 40% | 60% |
Emerson College | 4.3 | 20 | 37% | 63% |
Quinnipiac University | 4.3 | 7 | 7% | 93% |
YouGov | 4.7 | 7 | 19% | 81% |
SurveyUSA | 5.2 | 7 | 64% | 36% |
CBS News/YouGov | 5.2 | 7 | 8% | 92% |
Monmouth | 5.2 | 9 | 15% | 85% |
Suffolk University | 6.5 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
Remington Research | 6.7 | 10 | 42% | 58% |
Mason-Dixon | 7.3 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
Pollster | Average Error | States Polled | Error Favored Republicans | Error Favored Democrats |
---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | 2.3 | 2 | 100% | 0% |
Reuters/Ipsos | 3.3 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
Suffolk University | 4.0 | 4 | 56% | 44% |
CNN | 4.4 | 5 | 30% | 70% |
PPP (D) | 4.5 | 17 | 31% | 69% |
YouGov | 4.6 | 7 | 9% | 91% |
Quinnipiac University | 4.7 | 6 | 37% | 63% |
Rasmussen Reports | 5.3 | 18 | 21% | 79% |
Monmouth | 5.7 | 2 | 0% | 100% |
NBC News/WSJ/Marist | 5.9 | 9 | 6% | 94% |
Mason-Dixon | 5.9 | 2 | 25% | 75% |
SurveyUSA | 6.1 | 9 | 13% | 87% |
CBS News/YouGov | 6.4 | 38 | 28% | 72% |
FOX News | 8.5 | 4 | 0% | 100% |