Polls
2024 Pennsylvania Senate - McCormick vs. Casey
Senate Battlegrounds: Arizona | Michigan | Montana | Nevada | Ohio | Pennsylvania | Maryland | Wisconsin | RCP Senate Map
Senate Battlegrounds: Arizona | Michigan | Montana | Nevada | Ohio | Pennsylvania | Maryland | Wisconsin | RCP Senate Map
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Casey (D) * | McCormick (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 48.6 | 48.8 | McCormick +0.2 |
| RCP Average | 10/21 - 11/4 | -- | -- | 48.1 | 46.3 | Casey +1.8 |
| Atlas IntelAtlas Intel | 11/3 - 11/4 | 1840 LV | 2.0 | 49 | 47 | Casey +2 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)Trafalgar | 11/1 - 11/3 | 1089 LV | 2.9 | 46 | 47 | McCormick +1 |
| InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdv | 11/1 - 11/2 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 48 | 47 | Casey +1 |
| The Hill/EmersonEmerson | 10/30 - 11/2 | 1000 LV | 3.0 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 10/29 - 11/2 | 1527 LV | -- | 50 | 45 | Casey +5 |
| Muhlenberg CollegeMuhlenberg | 10/27 - 10/30 | 469 LV | 6.0 | 49 | 46 | Casey +3 |
| MaristMarist | 10/27 - 10/30 | 1400 LV | 3.1 | 50 | 48 | Casey +2 |
| Echelon InsightsEchelon | 10/27 - 10/30 | 600 LV | 4.5 | 44 | 47 | McCormick +3 |
| USA Today/SuffolkUSA Today | 10/27 - 10/30 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 46 | Casey +3 |
| Washington PostWash Post | 10/26 - 10/30 | 1204 LV | 3.1 | 49 | 46 | Casey +3 |
| Data for Progress (D)**DFP** | 10/25 - 10/30 | 908 LV | 3.0 | 49 | 45 | Casey +4 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/25 - 10/28 | 849 LV | 3.0 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 10/24 - 10/28 | 1057 LV | 3.0 | 50 | 48 | Casey +2 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/24 - 10/28 | 2186 LV | 2.1 | 50 | 47 | Casey +3 |
| CNNCNN | 10/23 - 10/28 | 819 LV | 4.7 | 48 | 45 | Casey +3 |
| Morning ConsultM. Consult | 10/21 - 10/30 | LV | -- | 46 | 43 | Casey +3 |
All 2024 Pennsylvania Senate - McCormick vs. Casey Polling Data
RCP Poll Average
2024 Pennsylvania Senate - McCormick vs. Casey
2024 Pennsylvania Senate - McCormick vs. Casey
48.1 Casey (D)+1.8Casey (D)+1.8 |
46.3 McCormick (R)McCormick (R) |
--
--
--
--
From:
to:
 |  |
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Casey (D) * | McCormick (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 48.6 | 48.8 | McCormick +0.2 |
| RCP Average | 10/21 - 11/4 | -- | -- | 48.1 | 46.3 | Casey +1.8 |
| Atlas IntelAtlas Intel | 11/3 - 11/4 | 1840 LV | 2.0 | 49 | 47 | Casey +2 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)Trafalgar | 11/1 - 11/3 | 1089 LV | 2.9 | 46 | 47 | McCormick +1 |
| Atlas IntelAtlas Intel | 11/1 - 11/2 | 2049 LV | 2.0 | 49 | 47 | Casey +2 |
| InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdv | 11/1 - 11/2 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 48 | 47 | Casey +1 |
| The Hill/EmersonEmerson | 10/30 - 11/2 | 1000 LV | 3.0 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 10/29 - 11/2 | 1527 LV | -- | 50 | 45 | Casey +5 |
| Muhlenberg CollegeMuhlenberg | 10/27 - 10/30 | 469 LV | 6.0 | 49 | 46 | Casey +3 |
| MaristMarist | 10/27 - 10/30 | 1400 LV | 3.1 | 50 | 48 | Casey +2 |
| Echelon InsightsEchelon | 10/27 - 10/30 | 600 LV | 4.5 | 44 | 47 | McCormick +3 |
| USA Today/SuffolkUSA Today | 10/27 - 10/30 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 46 | Casey +3 |
| Atlas IntelAtlas Intel | 10/27 - 10/30 | 1738 LV | 2.0 | 49 | 46 | Casey +3 |
| Washington PostWash Post | 10/26 - 10/30 | 1204 LV | 3.1 | 49 | 46 | Casey +3 |
| Data for Progress (D)**DFP** | 10/25 - 10/30 | 908 LV | 3.0 | 49 | 45 | Casey +4 |
| Atlas IntelAtlas Intel | 10/25 - 10/29 | 1299 LV | 3.0 | 49 | 47 | Casey +2 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/25 - 10/28 | 849 LV | 3.0 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
| InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdv | 10/26 - 10/27 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 10/24 - 10/28 | 1057 LV | 3.0 | 50 | 48 | Casey +2 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/24 - 10/28 | 2186 LV | 2.1 | 50 | 47 | Casey +3 |
| CNNCNN | 10/23 - 10/28 | 819 LV | 4.7 | 48 | 45 | Casey +3 |
| Morning ConsultM. Consult | 10/21 - 10/30 | LV | -- | 46 | 43 | Casey +3 |
| CBS NewsCBS News | 10/22 - 10/28 | 1273 LV | 3.6 | 48 | 42 | Casey +6 |
| AmGreatness/NSORNSOR | 10/22 - 10/26 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 45 | 42 | Casey +3 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/21 - 10/22 | 860 LV | 3.3 | 47 | 46 | Casey +1 |
| SusquehannaSusquehanna | 10/18 - 10/22 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 46 | Casey +3 |
| UMass LowellUMLowell | 10/16 - 10/23 | 800 LV | 3.7 | 48 | 42 | Casey +6 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)Trafalgar | 10/17 - 10/19 | 1084 LV | 2.9 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| Franklin & MarshallF&M | 10/9 - 10/20 | 583 LV | 5.0 | 49 | 48 | Casey +1 |
| Atlas IntelAtlas Intel | 10/12 - 10/17 | 2048 LV | 2.0 | 47 | 48 | McCormick +1 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/9 - 10/13 | 1072 LV | 3.0 | 47 | 45 | Casey +2 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 10/7 - 10/10 | 857 LV | -- | 48 | 44 | Casey +4 |
| AmGreatness/TIPPTIPP | 10/7 - 10/9 | 803 LV | 3.5 | 47 | 43 | Casey +4 |
| InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdv | 10/7 - 10/8 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 47 | 45 | Casey +2 |
| The Hill/EmersonEmerson | 10/5 - 10/8 | 1000 LV | 3.0 | 48 | 46 | Casey +2 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/3 - 10/7 | 1412 LV | 3.1 | 51 | 43 | Casey +8 |
| UMass LowellUMLowell | 10/2 - 10/9 | 800 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 39 | Casey +9 |
| EmersonEmerson | 9/27 - 9/28 | 1000 LV | 3.0 | 47 | 45 | Casey +2 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)Trafalgar | 9/26 - 9/29 | 1090 LV | 2.9 | 47 | 46 | Casey +1 |
| Atlas IntelAtlas Intel | 9/20 - 9/25 | 1775 LV | 2.0 | 47 | 45 | Casey +2 |
| Cook Political ReportCook Political | 9/19 - 9/25 | 474 LV | -- | 52 | 45 | Casey +7 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 9/20 - 9/24 | 775 LV | 3.5 | 53 | 44 | Casey +9 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 9/19 - 9/22 | 1202 LV | 3.0 | 45 | 45 | Tie |
| Fabrizio/AnzaloneFabrizio/Anzalone | 9/17 - 9/24 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 45 | Casey +4 |
| SusquehannaSusquehanna | 9/16 - 9/22 | 700 LV | 3.7 | 48 | 40 | Casey +8 |
| Remington Research (R)Remington | 9/16 - 9/20 | LV | -- | 49 | 45 | Casey +4 |
| Muhlenberg CollegeMuhlenberg | 9/16 - 9/19 | 450 LV | 6.0 | 48 | 43 | Casey +5 |
| The Hill/EmersonEmerson | 9/15 - 9/18 | 880 LV | 3.2 | 47 | 42 | Casey +5 |
| InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdv | 9/14 - 9/15 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 49 | 44 | Casey +5 |
| MaristMarist | 9/12 - 9/17 | 1476 LV | 3.2 | 52 | 47 | Casey +5 |
| Washington PostWash Post | 9/12 - 9/16 | 1003 LV | 3.6 | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 9/12 - 9/16 | 1331 LV | 2.7 | 52 | 43 | Casey +9 |
| UMass LowellUMLowell | 9/11 - 9/19 | 800 LV | 4.0 | 47 | 38 | Casey +9 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 9/11 - 9/16 | 1082 LV | -- | 49 | 40 | Casey +9 |
| USA Today/Suffolk*USA Today* | 9/11 - 9/14 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 47 | 43 | Casey +4 |
| Franklin & MarshallF&M | 9/4 - 9/15 | 890 RV | 4.1 | 48 | 40 | Casey +8 |
| CBS NewsCBS News | 9/3 - 9/6 | 1085 RV | 3.5 | 48 | 41 | Casey +7 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)Trafalgar | 8/28 - 8/30 | 1082 LV | 2.9 | 46 | 45 | Casey +1 |
| CNNCNN | 8/23 - 8/29 | 789 LV | 4.7 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
| The Hill/EmersonEmerson | 8/25 - 8/28 | 950 LV | 3.1 | 48 | 44 | Casey +4 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 8/13 - 8/17 | 1312 LV | -- | 46 | 43 | Casey +3 |
| EmersonEmerson | 8/13 - 8/14 | 1000 LV | 3.0 | 48 | 44 | Casey +4 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 8/8 - 8/12 | 1738 LV | 2.4 | 52 | 47 | Casey +5 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 8/6 - 8/8 | 693 LV | -- | 51 | 37 | Casey +14 |
| Franklin & MarshallF&M | 7/31 - 8/11 | 920 RV | 3.8 | 48 | 36 | Casey +12 |
| Cook Political ReportCook Political | 7/26 - 8/2 | 411 LV | -- | 53 | 40 | Casey +13 |
| SusquehannaSusquehanna | 7/22 - 7/28 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 47 | 42 | Casey +5 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 7/22 - 7/24 | 1034 RV | 3.0 | 55 | 42 | Casey +13 |
| The Hill/EmersonEmerson | 7/22 - 7/23 | 850 RV | 3.3 | 48 | 44 | Casey +4 |
| AmGreatness/NSORNSOR | 7/20 - 7/23 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 41 | Casey +8 |
| PPP (D)PPP | 7/10 - 7/11 | 537 RV | -- | 47 | 44 | Casey +3 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 7/9 - 7/11 | 872 LV | -- | 50 | 42 | Casey +8 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 7/5 - 7/12 | 1041 LV | 3.0 | 46 | 43 | Casey +3 |
| The Times/SAYSAY/YouGov | 7/4 - 7/12 | 1000 RV | 3.4 | 50 | 38 | Casey +12 |
| Remington Research (R)Remington | 6/29 - 7/1 | 673 RV | 4.0 | 49 | 48 | Casey +1 |
| Cygnal (R)Cygnal (R) | 6/27 - 6/28 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 46 | 42 | Casey +4 |
| The Hill/EmersonEmerson | 6/13 - 6/18 | 1000 RV | 3.0 | 47 | 41 | Casey +6 |
| MaristMarist | 6/3 - 6/6 | 1181 RV | 3.6 | 52 | 46 | Casey +6 |
| Cook Political ReportCook Political | 5/6 - 5/13 | 730 LV | 3.6 | 49 | 41 | Casey +8 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 4/28 - 5/9 | 1023 LV | 3.6 | 46 | 44 | Casey +2 |
| Fabrizio/AnzaloneFabrizio/Anzalone | 4/24 - 4/30 | 1398 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 44 | Casey +4 |
| Muhlenberg CollegeMuhlenberg | 4/15 - 4/25 | 417 RV | 6.0 | 45 | 41 | Casey +4 |
| The Hill/EmersonEmerson | 4/25 - 4/29 | 1000 RV | 3.0 | 46 | 42 | Casey +4 |
| CBS NewsCBS News | 4/19 - 4/25 | 1306 LV | 3.1 | 46 | 39 | Casey +7 |
| Franklin & MarshallF&M | 3/20 - 3/31 | 870 RV | 4.0 | 46 | 39 | Casey +7 |
| The Hill/EmersonEmerson | 3/10 - 3/13 | 1000 RV | 3.0 | 52 | 48 | Casey +4 |
| SusquehannaSusquehanna | 2/27 - 3/5 | 450 LV | 4.6 | 48 | 42 | Casey +6 |
| The Hill/EmersonEmerson | 2/14 - 2/16 | 1000 RV | 3.0 | 49 | 39 | Casey +10 |
| Franklin & MarshallF&M | 1/17 - 1/28 | 1006 RV | 3.6 | 47 | 35 | Casey +12 |
| SusquehannaSusquehanna | 1/15 - 1/21 | 745 RV | 3.7 | 46 | 42 | Casey +4 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 1/4 - 1/8 | 1680 RV | 2.4 | 53 | 43 | Casey +10 |
| Franklin & MarshallF&M | 10/11 - 10/22 | 873 RV | 4.1 | 46 | 39 | Casey +7 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/1 - 10/4 | 430 RV | 4.7 | 41 | 33 | Casey +8 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 9/28 - 10/2 | 1725 RV | 2.4 | 50 | 44 | Casey +6 |
| SusquehannaSusquehanna | 5/2 - 5/8 | 700 LV | 3.7 | 53 | 41 | Casey +12 |
| Franklin & MarshallF&M | 3/27 - 4/7 | 643 RV | 4.9 | 42 | 35 | Casey +7 |
